Threshold contracts
Whether an asset trades above or below a level by a deadline. Watch whether the rules read a wick or a fixed snapshot.
Crypto · Live markets
Crypto rails, ETFs and on-chain catalysts.
ETF rules, exchange products and on-chain infrastructure. Use this board to follow sourced stories, compare platform fit and check resolution quality before opening any market.
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Live crypto markets
Updating from Polymarket.
Active crypto markets with volume, prices and related platforms. Auto-refreshes every 5 minutes.
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Settlement
How Crypto markets resolve.
Read the resolution source before the price — it decides more outcomes than direction does.
Crypto is the only category here that trades every hour of every day, which changes how contracts are written. There is no closing bell to settle against, so a price market has to name an exchange, an index or a timestamp — and that choice matters more than the direction of your view.
Two contracts on the same threshold can settle differently if one reads an intraday wick and the other reads a snapshot at a fixed minute. Confirm the source and the moment before sizing anything.
| Settlement source | What to check |
|---|---|
| Named exchange or indexPrice and threshold contracts | The rules name the venue; a different exchange print does not settle it |
| Regulator docketsETF and product approvals | Decision and deadline dates are public and firm |
| On-chain dataSupply, staking and upgrade milestones | Verifiable, but reorgs and client differences need a confirmation depth |
| Protocol governanceFork, upgrade and parameter outcomes | Snapshot votes settle fast; implementation often lags the vote |
Contract types
What trades on this board.
The same headline event can be listed as several different contracts. These are the shapes you will meet in crypto.
Approval contracts
Whether a regulator clears a product by its statutory decision date.
Upgrade contracts
Whether a fork or protocol change activates in a window, settled from chain state rather than announcements.
Supply and flow contracts
Unlocks, issuance and treasury milestones read from public chain data.
Calendar and liquidity
- Continuous trading — no daily close, so overnight gaps do not exist but liquidity thins on weekends.
- Macro releases move crypto thresholds as hard as crypto-native news.
- Token unlock schedules are published in advance and are the most predictable catalysts.
- Regulatory decision deadlines concentrate volume into single days.
Where crypto contracts go wrong
- The settlement source is the trade. A market reading one exchange can resolve against a level that clearly printed elsewhere.
- Thin-book manipulation near a threshold is a real risk on low-liquidity contracts.
- Self-custody adds wallet, network and wrong-chain loss risk before any market view.
- Regional eligibility for crypto-native venues changes; verify access rather than assuming it.
Venue fit
Where crypto contracts actually list.
Coverage differs sharply by category. These are the venues worth comparing first here — always verify eligibility yourself.
PolymarketThe broadest crypto-native board with the deepest books on headline questions. Region-dependent access.
KalshiThe regulated route for eligible US users, with fiat funding instead of a wallet.
DriftSolana-native venue for traders who already hold on-chain positions and want event exposure nearby.Editorial comparison only, not financial advice. Prediction markets can lose money, regional eligibility changes, and settlement rules are set by each venue. Read our rating method and fees and risk guide before funding an account.
FAQ
Crypto settlement questions.
Which price source settles a crypto market?
Whichever one the contract names — a specific exchange, a composite index or a snapshot at a stated minute. If the rules do not name a source clearly, that is a reason to avoid the market rather than a detail to overlook.
Does an intraday spike count?
Only if the rules read intraday highs. Many contracts settle from a snapshot at a fixed time, so a brief wick through the level resolves No.
Do I need a crypto wallet for crypto markets?
Not always. Wallet-first venues require self-custody, but eligible US users can trade crypto-referencing contracts on a regulated venue with ordinary bank funding.
Need a faster answer?
Use the swipe chooser or compare tool to shortlist platforms by country, KYC, crypto support and event category.