Winner contracts
Which candidate or party takes a named office or seat.
Elections · Live markets
Election markets and campaign-finance signals.
A political subset focused on campaign cash, party control and turnout. Use this board to follow sourced stories, compare platform fit and check resolution quality before opening any market.
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Live election markets
Updating from Polymarket.
Active election markets with volume, prices and related platforms. Auto-refreshes every 5 minutes.
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Settlement
How Elections markets resolve.
Read the resolution source before the price — it decides more outcomes than direction does.
Election contracts look simple and settle slowly. The winner is usually obvious on the night, but a contract that reads certified results can stay open for weeks while the outcome nobody disputes works through an administrative process.
The other trap is candidate definition. Nomination and withdrawal markets hinge on what counts as becoming or ceasing to be a candidate, and that wording varies between venues covering the same race.
| Settlement source | What to check |
|---|---|
| Election authoritiesCertified results and seat counts | Authoritative but slow; certification timelines are set by statute |
| Major-outlet projectionsRace calls where the rules allow them | Fast, occasionally retracted; only settles if named in the rules |
| Party bodiesNomination and ballot-access outcomes | Internal rules can change mid-cycle |
| CourtsRecounts, challenges and eligibility | Can suspend or reverse an apparent result |
Contract types
What trades on this board.
The same headline event can be listed as several different contracts. These are the shapes you will meet in elections.
Nomination contracts
Who becomes a party's candidate — the wording on withdrawal and replacement is critical.
Control contracts
Which party holds a chamber or a majority after a cycle.
Margin and turnout contracts
Quantitative outcomes settled from certified tallies rather than projections.
Calendar and liquidity
- Primary season prices the nomination questions, often years before the vote.
- General-election days produce the category's deepest liquidity by a wide margin.
- Certification windows sit after the vote and control when contracts actually pay.
- Off-cycle and special elections trade thin and move on small news.
Where elections contracts go wrong
- A market can be effectively decided and still be weeks from settlement if it reads certification.
- Recounts and legal challenges extend horizons unpredictably.
- Candidate death, withdrawal or disqualification is handled differently by different rulebooks.
- Position and trader limits on some regulated venues cap how much size a view can express.
Venue fit
Where elections contracts actually list.
Coverage differs sharply by category. These are the venues worth comparing first here — always verify eligibility yourself.
PolymarketThe widest election coverage globally, including races that regulated venues do not list.
KalshiThe regulated US route, with identity verification and bank funding.
PredictItA long-running politics specialist; read its position caps before planning size.Editorial comparison only, not financial advice. Prediction markets can lose money, regional eligibility changes, and settlement rules are set by each venue. Read our rating method and fees and risk guide before funding an account.
FAQ
Elections settlement questions.
Why has my election market not settled yet?
Most likely because it reads certified results rather than a media projection. Certification is a statutory process that runs on its own timetable regardless of how clear the outcome looks.
What happens if a candidate withdraws?
It depends entirely on the rulebook. Some contracts void, some resolve to the remaining field and some treat withdrawal as a loss — this is the detail to read before trading nomination markets.
Are election markets legal where I live?
Availability varies by jurisdiction and venue, and it changes. Verify eligibility on the official platform terms rather than assuming access, and do not use a VPN to bypass a geographic restriction.
Need a faster answer?
Use the swipe chooser or compare tool to shortlist platforms by country, KYC, crypto support and event category.